Dispersion Variance And The Grade-Tonnage Relationship - 7.1 Definition Of The Variance Of Dispersion

[The following notations will be used: O an ore body. z a point in O. z' another point in O. w0 (z) a point support of infinitely small dimensions w0 centred in z. w (z) a sample (or block) of finite dimensions kv centred in z. W (z) a block of size W greater than or equal to w. W'(z) a block of size W' greater than or equal to W. W" (z) a block of size W" greater than or equal to W'. x (z) value of the regionalized variable x with support wO at point z. p (z) average value of x in w (z). pw WZ) = E[x(z')l zt in w(z) pw (z) average value of x in W (z). pwl (z) average value of x in W' (z). pwU (z) average value of x in W" (z). Note that pW (z), pw (z), pwf (z) and pw,, (z) are (regular- ized) regionalized variables with support w, W, W' and W" respectively. The relative sizes of wO, w, W', W" and O are represented schematically in Fig. 7.1. The variance of pw (z) when w (z) takes all possible positions in O is known as the dispersion variance of w in O and is denoted by a? (w in O) or a\: 0; = a2(w in a = Ew,z, inn {[p~ (z) - p121. (7.1) For convenience, the following simpler notation will be used: a> Ew in n [(p w - pl21. Consider now a large block W (z) in O with average value p~(z), and all the possible smaller blocks (or samples) w (z') of size w in W (z). We can calculate the variance of the blocks w (z') in the block W(z), which is the dispersion vaciance of w in W (z), from the relationship a2 [w in W(z)l = Ewcz,, in W(Z) {[PW (z') -pw (z)l21. (7.2) Provided the intrinsic hypothesis is satisfied (§3.4.4), this variance is a function only of the dimensions of the supports w and W, and is independent of the position z of the block W (z). We can therefore define the dispersion variance of w in W, as follows: u2 (win W) = Ew in w [(ptti - PW)~]. (7.3) In cases where the intrinsic hypothesis is not satisfied, the variance of samples w in blocks W may vary only slightly from block to block, so that the average dispersion variance of w in W (z) for all possible W (z) in O can be used: ayw in W) = Ew(,, ~n n {a2 [W in W (z)]}. (7.4) The following example will help to illustrate the importance of the variance of dispersion. Assume that we plan to develop a bedded coal deposit Q. We consider mining the ore body with only one giant dragline, which will extract each day a block of coal of size W'. The total area mined in a year will have a size W". We want to know whether this scheme is acceptable, given that the daily variation in ash content must not exceed a given percentage specified in the sales contract, which is renewable on a yearly basis. On a given day, if we mine the block W' (z), the ash content will average pwT (z). In a period of one year, the expected daily variation in ash content is measured by the expected variance of pwf (z) in W", i.e. by a2 (W'in W"). An alternative mining method might be to use two smaller draglines, each one mining W'/2 of ore per day, and Wn/2 per year. If the draglines are used to mine two distinct sections of the deposit, the expected daily variation in ash content will be u2 (W'/2 in Wj1/2)/2 Other situations, where economic decisions cannot be made without knowledge of the dispersion variance, are illustrated in § 7.4 and 7.5 below. Remark: The notation a2 (w in W) is used in this publication because of its clarity. An alternative notation, which is increasingly accepted in the literature, is s2w/W. ]