Life of Asset Planning, Uncertainty and Value Optimisation of the Iron Ore Business – From Exploration, to Market, to Closure

"Long-term strategic planning at BHP Billiton’s Western Australia Iron Ore business aims for sustainable value maximisation of its large, long-life, low-cost, expandable mineral inventory and supply chain infrastructure. While mine plans are key components of this value equation, this objective requires a whole-of-business approach through comprehensive consideration and optimisation of the full value chain. Only through a system view do we believe that the value proposition of a set of plans is truly optimised.The fundamental considerations include: mineral inventory information, given its intrinsic uncertainty and risk/knowledge horizon a marketing view of future quality premium/discount based on overall market quality load whole of supply chain optimisation on a throughput accounting basis alternative sequences of capital decisions closure costs with significant magnitude of total movement requiring optimisation as part of the plan. In addition, the plan provides a view of acceptable uncertainty levels at different times in the future.BHP Billiton Iron Ore uses a structured Life of Asset planning process that supports the business with the optimisation of its maximum value proposition through a non-deterministic scenario-based optimisation approach on an annual basis. This is a key input to each year’s medium-term plans and budgets, including activities identified through a value of information approach that resolve the key uncertainties and steadily improve confidence in the plan.CITATION:McCluskey, J and Barros, N, 2014. Life of asset planning, uncertainty and value optimisation of the iron ore business – from exploration, to market, to closure, in Proceedings Orebody Modelling and Strategic Mine Planning Symposium 2014, pp 33–40 (The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy: Melbourne)."